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min/max algorithm for cubic splines over k-partitions

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Date Issued:
2012
Summary:
The focus of this thesis is to statistically model violent crime rates against population over the years 1960-2009 for the United States. We approach this question as to be of interest since the trend of population for individual states follows different patterns. We propose here a method which employs cubic spline regression modeling. First we introduce a minimum/maximum algorithm that will identify potential knots. Then we employ least squares estimation to find potential regression coefficients based upon the cubic spline model and the knots chosen by the minimum/maximum algorithm. We then utilize the best subsets regression method to aid in model selection in which we find the minimum value of the Bayesian Information Criteria. Finally, we preent the R2adj as a measure of overall goodness of fit of our selected model. We have found among the fifty states and Washington D.C., 42 out of 51 showed an R2adj value that was greater than 90%. We also present an overall model of the United States. Also, we show additional applications our algorithm for data which show a non linear association. It is hoped that our method can serve as a unified model for violent crime rate over future years.
Title: A min/max algorithm for cubic splines over k-partitions.
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Name(s): Golinko, Eric David
Charles E. Schmidt College of Science
Department of Mathematical Sciences
Type of Resource: text
Genre: Electronic Thesis Or Dissertation
Date Issued: 2012
Publisher: Florida Atlantic University
Physical Form: electronic
Extent: viii, 62 p. : ill. (some col.)
Language(s): English
Summary: The focus of this thesis is to statistically model violent crime rates against population over the years 1960-2009 for the United States. We approach this question as to be of interest since the trend of population for individual states follows different patterns. We propose here a method which employs cubic spline regression modeling. First we introduce a minimum/maximum algorithm that will identify potential knots. Then we employ least squares estimation to find potential regression coefficients based upon the cubic spline model and the knots chosen by the minimum/maximum algorithm. We then utilize the best subsets regression method to aid in model selection in which we find the minimum value of the Bayesian Information Criteria. Finally, we preent the R2adj as a measure of overall goodness of fit of our selected model. We have found among the fifty states and Washington D.C., 42 out of 51 showed an R2adj value that was greater than 90%. We also present an overall model of the United States. Also, we show additional applications our algorithm for data which show a non linear association. It is hoped that our method can serve as a unified model for violent crime rate over future years.
Identifier: 794510485 (oclc), 3342107 (digitool), FADT3342107 (IID), fau:3861 (fedora)
Note(s): by Eric David Golinko.
Thesis (M.S.)--Florida Atlantic University, 2012.
Includes bibliography.
Electronic reproduction. Boca Raton, Fla., 2012. Mode of access: World Wide Web.
Subject(s): Spline theory -- Data processing
Bayesian statistical decision theory -- Data processing
Neural networks (Computer science)
Mathematical statistics
Uncertainty (Information theory)
Probabilities
Regression analysis
Persistent Link to This Record: http://purl.flvc.org/FAU/3342107
Use and Reproduction: http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
Host Institution: FAU